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发布时间:2026-08-26

少年四大名捕

ADP: Employers Add Fewer Jobs Than Expected as Hospitality Sector Slows_我的网站

辛普森一家

一 |     

Employers added 177,00 jobs in August as the leisure and hospitality sector pulled back sharply from its recent hiring surge, private payroll firm ADP reported on Wednesday.
The number was below estimates of 195,000 and down from the 324,000 reported in July.
"This month's numbers are consistent with the pace of job creation before the pandemic," said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. "After two years of exceptional gains tied to the recovery, we're moving toward more sustainable growth in pay and employment as the economic effects of the pandemic recede."
The hospitality industry cooled significantly, adding only 30,000 jobs. Education and health services, laggards during the pandemic, added 52,000 while employment in trade, transportation and utilities increased by 45,000.
Wages, meanwhile, rose at an annual rate of 5.9%, the slowest pace since September of 2021.
On Tuesday, in another sign of the labor market cooling, the number of job openings fell to 8.8 million as of the end of July. The number is the lowest since early 2021.
“The labor market is cooling and is taking pressure off policy makers concerned with a second wave of inflation,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. “Businesses should get some respite as inflation decelerates and the risk of quiet quitting dissipates.”
Meanwhile, the second estimate of gross domestic product came in slightly down to 2.1% on Wednesday from the prior 2.4% annual number based on a decline in exports. That is above the 2% rate seen in the first quarter but well below current estimates of economic growth in the third quarter that are now running at 5.9%.
That is a number that will likely come down as the weeks go by and more fresh data comes in, but it is one that will likely cause some concern at the Federal Reserve as it looks for an economic slowdown to help bring inflation down to the central bank’s 2% annual target.
The Fed meets in late September to consider interest rate policy with most analysts expecting no change, although there is an expectation the Fed could lift rates again in November if the economic data remains too strong.
One key data point will be the jobs report for August, due out on Friday with expectations of a gain of 169,000 jobs in the month.
“It looks like the economy is accelerating,” says Steve Wyett, chief investment strategist at BOK Financial. “Second quarter earnings were down, but not by as much as expected.”
Still, Wyett says the record levels of consumer indebtedness could eventually lead to a pullback.
“I’m a little worried about the consumer,” he says.
。    当前全球政治舞台上,美国的行为愈发显得荒谬可笑。日前,美国国家安全局副局长蒂姆·科西巴在一次公开会议上的发言,无疑是将这种荒诞感推向了高潮。

二 | 他所描绘出来的情景,有些像是一出无底线的闹剧,任谁看了都忍不住想要捧腹大笑,却又夹杂着几分讽刺。    科西巴在发言中表现出的核心情绪是“恐慌”。

三 | 他声称中国企业正在通过提供地理空间情报帮助伊朗打击美军基地和盟友,这一言论无疑重磅炸弹般引发关注。

四 | 然而,令人匪夷所思的是,这样严重且可能影响两国关系的指控竟毫无实质证据支撑。

五 | 没有具体的企业,没有详细事件时间和地点,全靠他一张嘴的构想,实在让人难以置信。        这一切并非孤例,而是美国政坛老套操作的缩影。过去十几年,华盛顿几乎每当面临内外压力时,就会抛出“中国威胁”的论调,以此获取国会增加军费、维护军工利益的空间。    科西巴的表现,不正是这一套路的再次重演吗?他喋喋不休地讲述着中国如何步步紧逼美国,仿佛是在为美军的疲软和内政的混乱寻找借口。可实际上,这种阴谋论不仅内部官员对此意见相左,就连美国的一些媒体也毫不留情地揭露这一荒谬言论的漏洞。    进一步分析,科西巴与其说是在为美国描绘一个“危机四伏”的未来,不如说这是在转移视线,掩盖自身的失败与恐慌。美国作为一个依然拥有全球主导地位的国家,却在面对中国崛起时表现出如此不安,实在是有些讽刺。美国政治体制正面临着前所未有的挑战,军工产能跟不上需求、政治斗争日益激烈,而对中国的无端指责似乎成了逃避内部矛盾的最佳手法。        更让人深思的是,美国在这些问题上的双重标准。在他们眼里,中国的任何发展都是威胁,而自己的行为却可以被美化成“维护世界秩序”。这种偏执病态的逻辑不仅令美国失去了公信力,更加剧了全球范围内的对立。    中国在国际上正以一种合作共赢的姿态积极参与各种投资和贸易,而美国却将这些视为“渗透”。中国在格陵兰岛的正常投资、在拉美的基建合作,都被美国扭曲成阴暗的军事实力扩展。这种双标逻辑不仅荒唐可笑,甚至在某种程度上反映了美国的脆弱与无力。    在科技竞争日趋激烈的背景下,AI成为了各国争夺的战略高地。科西巴强调AI的优先性,同时反映出美国在技术创新方面的不安。美国一方面妄图通过封锁和围堵来限制中国的发展,另一方面却忽略了自主创新的重要性。这种“卡脖子”策略,从根本上只会迫使中国加速转型,推动自主研发,从而生长出更强大的竞争力。        美国的这种“心虚”,不仅表现在外交政策上,更是对其国内治理能力的深刻反思。面对国内难题,改革往往意味着得罪既得利益者,因此通过抹黑外部对手来转移视线似乎成了最便捷的办法。然而,这一策略的局限性也愈发明显,特别是在信息高度透明的今天,即使是最精细的舆论操控也难以持久遮掩真相。

六 |     回头来看,科西巴那句“我们一刻都不能落后”听上去像是口号,实则包含了深邃的焦虑与不安。美国已经不再是那个可以自信地引领全球发展的超级大国,而是一个被假想敌捆绑的巨兽。试图以“外因”来解释“一己之困”,只会导致更加严重的内耗和社会撕裂。    最终,当一个国家将所有的问题归咎于外部威胁的时候,它必定在走向衰退的边缘。如今的美国,频繁以“中国威胁”作为政治工具,其实暴露的只是自身的软弱与动摇。社会矛盾的加剧、政治宠辱不惊、经济压力的增加,这些才是真正需要直面的“敌人”。    在未来的国际舞台上,美国是否能够静心致志于自省,还是继续在无谓的抹黑中挣扎,拭目以待。不过可以确定的是,如果继续以这样的方式维持所谓的“霸权”,注定将迎来更加艰难的局面。真正的强者应当向内求索,而非一味向外甩锅。返回,查看更多

七 |

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